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An ecommerce marketing agency that counts profit, not ROAS

Direct answer: Ecommerce marketing that works manages first-order profit, not platform ROAS: contribution margin after cost of goods, shipping, returns and payment fees decides what you can pay for a customer. We benchmark cart abandonment, return rates and repeat purchase against 2026 data and build the product page, checkout and email flows that turn one order into a second.

Platform ROAS is the most flattering number in ecommerce and the least useful. We work first-order contribution, returns and repeat purchase, because that is what decides whether growth makes you money or just makes you busy.

70.22%average cart abandonment across 50 studies
22%median DTC contribution margin, down from 35% in 2021
18.8%of first-time buyers ever place a second order
19–20%average ecommerce return rate
Leak one

A thousand carts, and what is left at the end

Cart abandonment has hovered near 70% since 2006. It has barely moved through two decades of payment innovation, which tells you the problem is not technology. It is what the checkout asks people to accept.

The checkout autopsy

Start with 1,000 people who added something to a cart. Follow what survives.

Funnel showing 1,000 carts reducing to 298 completed orders and 241 orders kept after returns Added to cart Completed the order Kept it 1,000 298 241 −702 abandoned at 70.22% −57 returned at 19% Of a thousand people who wanted your product enough to add it to a cart, roughly 241 orders stick.

Why the 702 left

Baymard's US survey of 4,329 adults, excluding the 42% who were simply browsing. Tap any row for the fix. Percentages total more than 100 because people could pick several reasons.

The fix: show shipping and tax on the product page or in the cart, not at step three. Surprise is what kills the order, not the amount. A flat rate or a free-shipping threshold shown early beats a lower rate revealed late.
The fix: guest checkout as the default path, with the account offer made after payment rather than before it. You get the same email either way, and you get the order too.
The fix: partly a logistics problem, but often a communication one. A specific delivery date beats a vague range, and an expedited option at checkout converts people who would otherwise leave.
The fix: recognizable payment marks, a visible returns policy, real contact details, and wallet options such as Apple Pay and Google Pay that let people avoid typing a card into a site they have never used.
The fix: Baymard's usability testing puts an ideal checkout at 12 to 14 form elements, roughly 7 to 8 actual fields. The average site runs well above that. Every field you delete is money.
The fix: a running order total visible at every step. This is the same objection as extra costs wearing different clothes, which is why price transparency is the single highest-value change in most checkouts.
The fix: state the policy plainly near the buy button. Worth reading alongside the returns section below, because a generous policy raises conversion and raises return rate at the same time. That trade has a right answer and it depends on your margin.
The fix: test checkout on mid-range Android phones on a slow connection, not on the newest device in the office. Mobile carts abandon at roughly 80% against 69% on desktop across Dynamic Yield's network.
The fix: wallets and buy-now-pay-later where your audience expects them. Enabling native mobile payment is reported to cut mobile abandonment by 8 to 12 percentage points on its own.
The fix: mostly outside your control, but a clear error message and an easy retry recovers a share of it. Silent failures lose the order permanently.

Baymard Institute, US survey of 4,329 adults on reasons for cart abandonment, excluding the 42% who reported they were only browsing. Baymard also estimates an average conversion uplift of about 35% is available from checkout design changes alone, which is roughly $260 billion in recoverable orders across the US and EU. Device split from Dynamic Yield's benchmark network.

Seven of those ten reasons are choices someone made in your checkout. That is the argument for treating checkout as a conversion optimization project rather than a development ticket, and it is why we start here rather than in the ad account. Traffic bought into a checkout leaking at these rates is the most expensive mistake in ecommerce.

Free tool, nothing stored

What did you actually make on the first order?

Revenue is not profit and ROAS is not either. Set your real numbers and this returns your contribution per order, your first-order profit or loss, your true break-even ROAS, and how many orders one customer has to place before you are ahead.

$85

Median paid-traffic AOV in DTC ran near $74 in 2025.

35%

Landed cost of goods including duties.

$9

Pick, pack, box and outbound postage, net of anything the customer pays.

19%

Ecommerce averages 19 to 20%. Apparel runs 20 to 40%, electronics 10 to 11%, beauty around 8%.

$45

Total ad spend divided by new customers. Category averages run near $53 in food and drink and $120 or more in luxury fashion.

Profit on the first order —

 

Order value—
Product cost—
Shipping and fulfillment—
Payment processing at 2.9% plus 30¢—
Returns, spread across all orders—
Contribution per order—
Customer acquisition cost—
First-order profit—
Your true break-even ROAS —  
Orders needed per customer —  

Returns are modeled as the refunded order plus outbound shipping, reverse logistics and restocking, using a $20 handling assumption on top of your shipping figure. Published processing costs run $10 to $65 per return. Break-even ROAS is one divided by contribution margin, which is arithmetic rather than opinion.

Break-even ROAS is a margin question

The ROAS you need has nothing to do with your industry and everything to do with your contribution margin. The dot is you.

Curve showing required break-even return on ad spend falling as contribution margin rises Contribution margin

Where returns take the margin

Returns do not cost you their percentage. They cost you their percentage plus the shipping both ways and the handling, which is why a 25% return rate can remove around 70% of unit contribution margin.

Bar comparison of contribution per order with no returns against your current return rate With no returns at all — At your return rate —   Contribution per order, before acquisition cost.
Leak two

Returns are the quietest way to lose money

Every brand knows its return rate. Almost none of them know what a return actually costs, because the loss is spread across shipping, labor, restocking and inventory that comes back unsellable.

Average ecommerce return rates now run 19 to 20%, roughly two to three times the 5 to 9% that physical retail sees. The spread by category is enormous: apparel sits near 25% and can reach 40%, footwear around 18%, home and furniture 15 to 20%, electronics 10 to 11%, and beauty closer to 8%. Comparing your rate to the blended average is close to meaningless.

Each return costs somewhere between $10 and $65 to process before you count the outbound shipping you already paid. That is why the margin effect is so much larger than the headline percentage suggests, and why a 25% return rate can remove around 70% of unit contribution margin rather than 25% of it.

The market has noticed. In 2026 roughly 72% of US retailers charge some kind of return fee, up from 41% in 2023, and 53% of those report their return rates falling as a result. That is a real lever, and it is also a conversion risk, because an unsatisfactory returns policy is one of the ten reasons people abandon carts in the first place. Whether it is worth it comes down to your contribution margin, which is exactly the number the calculator above gives you.

The practical work is narrower than most people expect: better size and fit information, photography that shows scale and true color, product detail copy that pre-empts the reason for the most common return, and post-purchase messaging that sets delivery expectations. None of it is glamorous. All of it shows up in the margin line.

Leak three

The second order decides whether the first one was worth buying

If your first order barely breaks even, and for most brands it does not, then the entire business rests on customers coming back. The data on when they come back is unusually clear, and most brands are asleep during the window.

When the second order actually lands

Across 40,397 repeat buyers, half came back inside 30 days and three quarters inside 90. The shaded strip is where most post-purchase email flows go silent.

Cumulative share of second orders over time, showing 50.3% by day 30 and 76.4% by day 90 Most flows stop here 50.3% 76.4% 96.3% Day 0 Day 30 Day 90 Year 1 Cumulative share of all second orders. Only 3.7% of repeat buyers take longer than a year.

Read that alongside the repeat rate itself. Across roughly 156,000 DTC customers the average brand sees about 18.8% of first-time buyers place a second order. By category, consumables run 25 to 45%, supplements near 38%, apparel 12 to 32%, home and durable goods 7 to 18%, and luxury fashion under 10%.

Two conclusions follow, and they point in opposite directions depending on what you sell. If you sell consumables, retention is the business and your acquisition budget should be sized against a customer who buys four times a year. If you sell durables or luxury, the second order is a bonus, and your ceiling on acquisition spend is set by what a single order earns, which puts first-order contribution margin at the center of everything.

The tactical gap is the same in both cases. Median time to a second purchase clusters around 15 to 35 days, while most post-purchase email sequences finish at day seven to fourteen. Brands go quiet in the exact window when the second order is being decided. Fixing that is email marketing and marketing automation work, and it is usually the cheapest incremental revenue available.

Sources on this page. Cart abandonment rate and abandonment reasons: Baymard Institute, a meta-analysis of 50 studies plus a US survey of 4,329 adults. Device-level abandonment: Dynamic Yield benchmark network. Return rates, per-return processing cost and the contribution-margin effect: 2026 ecommerce return benchmark analysis across categories, with retailer return-fee adoption reported by CNBC. Contribution margin trend and per-channel ROAS overstatement: Fairview 2026 DTC metrics. Repeat purchase rates and second-order timing: BS and Co 2026 analysis of roughly 156,000 DTC customers and 40,397 repeat buyers. Category CAC figures: First Page Sage benchmarks across 80-plus ecommerce clients, 2020 to 2025. Where sources disagree we show the range rather than the friendlier number.
The reporting problem

Why the ROAS in your ad account is not the ROAS in your bank

Every ad platform reports the revenue it can claim credit for. None of them subtract your product cost, your shipping, your payment fees or your returns, and none of them know what the other platforms also claimed.

Two things go wrong at once. Platform-reported return on ad spend has been measured overstating true return by roughly 2.3 times, because multiple channels each claim the same conversion. And the ROAS number itself says nothing about profit, because break-even ROAS is simply one divided by your contribution margin. A brand at 20% contribution margin needs 5.0 times just to stand still. A brand at 50% breaks even at 2.0. The same 3.0x is a triumph for one and a slow bleed for the other.

That is why the phrase good ROAS is close to meaningless without your margin next to it, and why we report blended marketing efficiency and contribution after ad spend instead. Profitable brands typically run overall marketing efficiency somewhere between 2.5 and 4 times, but the honest version of that sentence is that it depends entirely on the margin structure underneath.

The wider context makes this urgent rather than academic. Acquisition costs have risen sharply over the last several years, with one analysis of more than 80 ecommerce clients putting the increase at 222% across eight years, while median DTC contribution margin fell from about 35% in 2021 to about 22% in 2025. Rising costs met falling margins. Brands that only watch platform ROAS have been walking into that squeeze with a metric that cannot see it.

The engagement

What an ecommerce marketing engagement covers

In roughly this order, because spending into a leaking checkout is how brands turn a marketing budget into a rounding error.

Checkout and product page

Field reduction, price transparency, guest checkout, wallet payments, mobile-first testing on real mid-range devices. Baymard puts the available uplift from checkout design alone at about 35%. This is conversion optimization applied where the money changes hands.

Paid acquisition against contribution

Shopping, Performance Max, Meta and search managed to your real break-even ROAS rather than a platform number. See PPC management and Google Ads management.

Abandoned cart and post-purchase flows

Recovery sequences for the 70% who leave, then a post-purchase program that stays awake through the 15 to 35 day window when the second order happens. Covered under email marketing.

Retargeting that respects intent

Recovery works far better on high-intent traffic than on cold social audiences, so we segment by source rather than blasting everyone who bounced. See retargeting.

Creative that carries the product

Product video, unboxing, demonstration and scale-accurate photography direction. Better product presentation lifts conversion and cuts returns at the same time, which is rare. See video production.

Returns and margin work

Fit guidance, expectation-setting copy, policy structure and the fee question. Not marketing in the traditional sense, and often the largest single lever on profit per order.

Search visibility and AI-search citation for product and category pages run through Eye To Ad Media, our search arm. If your store needs custom tooling that a theme cannot handle, such as a configurator, a subscription portal or a wholesale ordering system, that is web app development, built in-house.

The through line across all of it is the same principle we apply as a conversion rate optimization agency: improve what happens to the traffic you already pay for before buying more of it, because every point of conversion improvement makes every future ad dollar worth more.

Honest scoping

When we are the right call, and when we are not

Talk to us if

  • You are growing revenue and cannot work out why the bank balance is not growing with it
  • Your checkout has more than eight fields or hides shipping until the final step
  • Returns are above your category average and nobody owns the number
  • Your post-purchase email stops before day fourteen
  • You are scaling paid spend against a platform ROAS target nobody has checked against margin
  • You sell consumables and your repeat rate is under 25%

Do not hire us if

  • Your contribution margin is negative before acquisition cost, which is a pricing or sourcing problem first
  • You want us to promise a ROAS number before seeing your margin structure
  • You cannot give us order-level data including returns
  • You are pre-launch with no sales history to work from
  • You want SEO only, which belongs with a specialist search team
  • Nobody on your side can ship a checkout change this quarter
Who you would work with

Why us

Search Converts has been building and running commercial websites since 2012, and we maintain a working portfolio of several hundred properties ourselves. We are not describing checkout friction from a case study. We have built checkouts, watched people abandon them, and rebuilt them.

The founder also operates a home-services company outside the agency, which matters here for an unglamorous reason: it means the person reviewing your numbers has had to price a job knowing what the materials, the delivery and the callbacks actually cost. Contribution margin is not an abstraction to someone who has run a business where getting it wrong shows up in the bank account the same month.

We sell every marketing channel, so there is no incentive to make any one of them your answer. When the honest recommendation is to stop scaling spend and fix the checkout, or to raise prices, or to charge for returns, we say it. That advice costs us media revenue, which is exactly why it is worth listening to.

What you will not find on this page is a wall of brand logos or invented case study numbers. Every figure quoted here is published research with the source named. The first thing you get from working with us is the same analysis applied to your own numbers instead of somebody else's.

Questions we get

Ecommerce marketing questions, answered with numbers

Send us five numbers and we will tell you the truth

Average order value, product cost, shipping cost, return rate and what you pay for a customer. That is enough for us to say whether your growth is profitable, where the leak is, and what we would fix first. No obligation, and no pitch deck.

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Related pages

The same principles, applied to neighbouring industries and the channels that feed them:

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